The Inversion Gap

The setup from the "looks like a buy" Reel: a bullish gap that price closes straight through, the flip from support to resistance, the new bearish gap on top of it, and where the entry, stop and target go — plus the honest answer to "take it every single time". This free lesson covers: Looks like a buy, Trend first, Which chart qualifies?, The fail: a body close, Wick or close?, The flip, The overlap, Find the overlap, Stop, target, and the exit, Work it out, “Every single time”?, Put it together.

Going deeper

More on the inversion gap

This lesson is the long form of the “looks like a buy” Reel. Its chart is illustrative 15-minute US30 bars: highs 42,320 → 42,240 → 42,170, a respected bearish gap 42,222–42,250, a bullish gap 42,080–42,120 closed through at 42,050, a new bearish gap 42,088–42,128, entry 42,104 in the overlap, stop 42,178, target 41,930. The 1 : 2.4 in the steps is recomputed from those prices.

The setup has not been backtested here. The steps are rules to test on your own charts, not a proven edge.

The mirror image works the same way in an uptrend: a bearish gap that price closes up through flips to support, and a new bullish gap overlapping it is the buy zone, with the stop below the swing low.

Common mistakes4
  • Calling a wick through the gap a failure — it needs a body close.
  • Selling a failed bullish gap in an uptrend, where it is more often just a pullback.
  • Entering anywhere in either gap instead of in the overlap.
  • Holding on after a candle closes back above the zone because the stop has not been hit yet.
From experience3
  • Mark every fair value gap on the chart you trade, then watch which ones fail. Failed gaps are easy to miss once they are behind price.
  • If there is no new bearish gap overlapping the failed one, there is no entry zone — skip it rather than guessing a level.
  • Check the reward to the next low before entering. If it is under about twice the risk, skip the trade.
Questions people ask2

Which timeframe?

The Reel uses 15-minute bars. The idea works the same way on other timeframes, but test the timeframe you actually trade before relying on it.

What if price never comes back to the overlap?

Then there is no entry. Chasing the move after it has left the zone means a wider stop and a worse trade.