Performance
The win rate needed to break even at a given reward-to-risk ratio — 50% at 1:1, 33% at 1:2, 25% at 1:3.
This is fixed arithmetic rather than opinion, which makes it a useful check on any advertised win rate. If someone claims 85% at 1:3, compare it against the 25% actually required and ask about sample size.
It also explains why 'improve your win rate' is poor advice alone — changing the reward-to-risk changes the win rate you need, often in the opposite direction.
Taught in
Win Rate Is Not the PointMeasuring Your EdgeWhy the number everyone quotes says almost nothing on its own — and what to look at instead.
Also covered in that lesson
Related terms